(Content lifted wholesale fromMark Thoma)
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdoc.cfm?index=6854&type=1
(Do graphs like this make you glaze over? I know it happens to me all the time. But do take the extra 15 seconds or so to make sense of this one. It's the gift that keeps on giving.)
From the Congressional Budget Office report on Marginal Tax Rates, emphasis mine:
If tax provisions enacted in 2001, 2003, and 2004 expire as scheduled over the next five years, marginal rates will increase across most of the income distribution. Compared with a fully phased-in version of existing law, expiration would raise effective marginal tax rates by an average of almost 3 percentage points. Roughly half of taxpayers would face higher marginal rates; most other taxpayers would see no change in their marginal rates.
So, basically, middle-class families get bupkis. Some poorer families get significant savings. But the only group that is guarenteed to do well by making the Bush tax cuts permanent are the really, really rich (and we're talking about $230,000+/year income families here -- within the top one percent, I think).
As a bonus, over atMark's, Bruce Web observed: "Kind of put Steve Forbe's 17% Flat Tax proposal in proportion [when] "most taxpayers face effective marginal rates of 15 percent or less". Nice. Very nice.
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