Battlepanda: Garbage in, garbage published in the WaPo

Battlepanda

Always trying to figure things out with the minimum of bullshit and the maximum of belligerence.

Thursday, February 09, 2006

Garbage in, garbage published in the WaPo

Jeebus Christ. Not again. From the Cunning Realist, one of the sharpest tack on the bulletin board...
What do agenda-driven hawks do when U.S. intelligence is already on record with an estimate that Iran is a decade away from the ability to build a nuclear weapon? They get busy intimating, intoning, and leaking. Anonymously, of course---and preferably to the same reporter, WaPo's Dafna Linzer, who first wrote about that estimate of a decade. Excerpts from a longer WaPo piece by Linzer :
Iranian engineers have completed sophisticated drawings of a deep subterranean shaft, according to officials who have examined classified documents in the hands of U.S. intelligence for more than 20 months.

Complete with remote-controlled sensors to measure pressure and heat, the plans for the 400-meter tunnel appear designed for an underground atomic test that might one day announce Tehran's arrival as a nuclear power, the officials said.

By the estimates of U.S. and allied intelligence analysts, that day remains as much as a decade away -- assuming that Iran applies the full measure of its scientific and industrial resources to the project and encounters no major technical hurdles. But whether Iran's leaders have reached that decision and what concrete progress the effort has made remain divisive questions among government analysts and U.N. inspectors.

Drawings of the unbuilt test site, not disclosed publicly before, appear to U.S. officials to signal at least the ambition to test a nuclear explosive. But U.S. and U.N. experts who have studied them said the undated drawings do not clearly fit into a larger picture. Nowhere, for example, does the word "nuclear" appear on them. The authorship is unknown, and there is no evidence of an associated program to acquire, assemble and construct the components of such a site.

Other suggestive evidence is cloaked in similar uncertainty. Contained in a laptop computer stolen by an Iranian citizen in 2004 are designs by a firm called Kimeya Madon for a small-scale facility to produce uranium gas, the construction of which would give Iran a secret stock that could be enriched for fuel or for bombs.
Ho ho. Sound familiar?